Everton vs Chelsea – Predictions, Odds, Betting Tips, Match Preview | Premier League
Everton host Chelsea on Saturday, 21 March 2026 at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Premier League Matchweek 31, with kick-off set for 5:30pm UK time.
The home expert believes that this is going to be a competitive and interesting match, especially due to the fact that both teams have a lot to play for, considering that it is late in the season. Chelsea is considered a favorite, but Everton’s record against Chelsea at home and their improvement under Moyes mean that they will not make it easy for Chelsea. Chelsea have more quality going forward, but they have not been consistent lately, and that could be a window of opportunity for Everton.
Everton is currently on 43 points and sits eighth, while Chelsea is on 48 points and sits sixth after 30 matches. Everton has lost three matches out of their last 10 matches, but they have collected 15 points, two fewer than what Chelsea have collected. Chelsea, on the other hand, have won just one of their last five matches and have had a difficult week after being eliminated from the Champions League.
Despite being at home, Chelsea have more quality going forward. Chelsea’s leading scorer in the Premier League is João Pedro, and he has 14 goals. Everton’s main league goal threats have been Thierno Barry and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall with six each, with Iliman Ndiaye on five. That difference in final-third output is one reason Chelsea remain marginal favorites despite Everton’s home advantage.
Best Odds for Everton vs Chelsea
| Websites | W1 | X | W2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22bet | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.11 |
| Betlabel | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.11 |
| 20bet | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.11 |
| Megapari | 3.76 | 3.87 | 2.45 |
| 1xbet | 3.76 | 3.87 | 2.45 |
| Melbet | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.11 |
*Odds subject to change - sourced from betting tip aggregators ahead of kickoff.
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Best Bets for Everton vs Chelsea
- Chelsea to win - Bet on 22bet
- Over 2.5 Goals - Yes, Bet on Betlabel
- Both Teams to Score - Yes, Bet on 22bet
Our Analysis of Both Teams
- Score Prediction: Everton 1–2 Chelsea - Bet on Betlabel
- Goalscorers prediction: Everton: Thierno Barry Chelsea: João Pedro, Cole Palmer - Bet on 22bet
Everton have been a bit tougher to defeat in recent games, and they have looked a more organized team in recent games. However, their home form since moving to their new stadium has been somewhat inconsistent. They have registered five wins, four draws, and six defeats in the Premier League. Chelsea have had a relatively impressive away record compared to their overall form. They are one of the top traveling teams in the league.
Chelsea have a superior attacking record compared to their opponents. According to comparison site previews, Chelsea have a superior attacking record compared to their opponents. They have scored 53 goals in the Premier League compared to their opponents’ 34. They have registered seven away wins in the Premier League. However, Everton have a threat in Barry and Ndiaye. They have a threat from set pieces. However, they do not have the overall match-winners in the team.
However, there is a case for Everton to score. They have conceded in eight consecutive Premier League games. Trevoh Chalobah is set to miss this fixture after suffering an ankle injury. His manager, Liam Rosenior, said he is set to be out for six weeks.
Probable Lineups for Everton vs Chelsea
Everton expected lineup:
Pickford; O'Brien, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Garner, Gueye; Armstrong, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye; Barry
Chelsea expected lineup:
Sanchez; Acheampong, Sarr, Fofana, Cucurella; Caicedo, Santos; Palmer, Fernandez, Garnacho; Pedro
Both teams are expected to field competitive lineups, although there are fitness questions on both sides. Everton have doubts over James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite, while Chelsea have injury concerns involving Chalobah, Reece James, Filip Jorgensen and Levi Colwill, with several others still being assessed.
Back Chelsea for a Narrow Away Victory
Chelsea’s extra attacking depth gives them a slight edge here. João Pedro has been directly involved in eight goals in his last eight away appearances in all competitions, and odds markets still make Chelsea the likelier winner. Everton are capable of making this uncomfortable, but Chelsea have more routes to goal.
- Everton vs Chelsea Bet 1: Chelsea to Win, Bet on 22bet
Goals Expected in This Premier League Clash
There is a solid case for goals in this one. Oddschecker’s U.S. market had Over 2.5 Goals priced shorter than the under, and another preview source noted that 85% of Chelsea’s last seven away matches had gone over 2.5 goals. Chelsea’s defensive record has also been unstable, which increases the chances of an open game.
At the same time, this is not a guaranteed goal-fest. Recent head-to-head meetings have often been tighter, so over 2.5 goals is more of a value play than a certainty. Still, with Chelsea needing points for the top-four race and Everton pushing for a strong finish, the game state could open up.
- Everton vs Chelsea Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals – Yes, Bet on Betlabel
Both Teams to Score
This market is supported by Chelsea’s recent inability to keep clean sheets in the league. Everton may not be prolific, but they are at home and have enough attacking options to trouble a back line that has looked vulnerable.
There is some risk here because Everton have failed to score in each of their last four meetings with Chelsea. Still, current form suggests this Chelsea defense is more fragile than those previous versions, so both teams scoring is a reasonable selection.
- Everton vs Chelsea Bet 3: Both Teams to Score – Yes, Bet on 22bet
Head-to-Head: Everton vs Chelsea
Recent meetings lean Chelsea. The Blues have gone unbeaten in the last four meetings with Everton, winning three and drawing one. The last five results are: Chelsea 2-0 Everton, Chelsea 1-0 Everton, Everton 0-0 Chelsea, Chelsea 6-0 Everton, and Everton 2-0 Chelsea.
That said, Everton’s home league record against Chelsea has been stronger than many expect. Sports Mole notes Everton have lost only one of their last eight Premier League home meetings with Chelsea, although they have also failed to score in 12 of their last 19 top-flight games against the Blues.
Final Prediction
Everton vs Chelsea has the ingredients for a close Premier League contest.
Everton will try to use home support, defensive structure and transitions to make life difficult for Chelsea. Chelsea, meanwhile, should look to control more of the ball and rely on the quality of João Pedro, Palmer and Fernandez to create the decisive moments. Everton are good enough to score, especially against a defense that has been leaking chances, but Chelsea’s superior attacking depth may be the difference.
- Final Score Prediction: Everton 1–2 Chelsea, Bet on 22bet